The Bitcoin halving is just a few months away. How will it affect the price of Bitcoin, can historical trends help us make predictions for the price?
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33 COMMENTS

  1. Hi Everyone! Thanks for tuning in to watch this video on the Bitcoin halving. I am currently on holiday and recorded this a few days before all of the video drama with Youtube which some of you may be aware of. That situation has now been resolved and I am able to post as normal. The exact reasons for the situation are unclear still, but most channels have been restored. Thanks to everyone for their kind messages of support. Enjoy the video and looking forward to reading your thoughts on the Bitcoin halving in the comment section.

  2. Argentina is having trouble with their currency valuation again (or devaluation to be more exact), now they will not peg it to the dollar to avoid inflation, and their central bank does not have enough gold to back it up with the precios metal.

    Nobody really knows what they are going to do, but Bitcoin is making a lot of noise down there as people try to rescue some of their savings.

    Fuck the halving… could Argentina use Bitcoin to achieve price stability? Who knows, but that would for sure shoot up the price of Bitcoin.

  5. It's videos like this that are the reason why you are one of my top go-to's for crypto podcasters. I'm curious what you think about Andrew Yang, UBI, the fact that he is the ONLY presidential candidate who understands and supports crypto's and even (dare I say it) the potential of using BTC for UBI. Would love to know the perspective of one of the most respectable voices out there in crypto.

  7. Accurate $ Price Predictions are very hard to get right.
    The only one that’s easy to get right where BTCis concerned is ‘moon’ so ‘MOON’ is my prediction for the halving & beyond…. ?

  11. Is there any way to figure out the increase rate of hodlers vs. the production of new Bitcoin? I would imagine that at some point all of the existing BTC will make it to the hands of a long term hodler and the competition then becomes for just the newly mined coins. I know when the halvings will happen but I don't know when the available supply of Bitcoin hits the ultimate demand wall. It's coming, I just don't know when. Any idea?

  12. Good info. I’m actually very interested how you will play this game in the next bullrun (100-360k) in terms of taking profits and stoplosses and so on. Please share some ideas concerning that. Thx

  14. can you make a video on your thoughts about when to sell? if you should sell? how much to always hold? etc.

    it seems like the easiest thing to do is hold, but many are interested in what price points we should look at to take profits and get ready for the next cycle.

  15. Dont say nobody knows, I know:
    Supply and demand CAN NOT be price in. NEWS can be priced in, which affects supply and demand, but the halvening is not NEWS, it is SUPPLY. Supply comes from 2 things…

    1. Mining reward
    2. HODLers losing grip

    Demand comes from 3 things:

    1. New HODLers

    2. Old HODLers accumulating more

    3. Miners not selling some of the newly created coins (same effect as demand if you consider all new coins as supply)

    Note: traders have no net effect because whatever they soak up when buying, they will release later when selling. (Unless they become a new HODLer, and that does happen)

    Supply flow (bitcoin sold) vs demand flow (fiat sold for bitcoin) gives underlying price. Traders coming in and out cause disturbances in the underlying price but it returns to baseline as they exit

  17. I've heard predictions similar to yours. Since crypto is a brand new asset class, should we really expect it to follow traditional trend models when it reaches mainstream adoption?

  18. I like the halving as a historical event, but I totally agree that it's not much more than a mark on the calendar. I'd like to see 100k early in 2021, and a new high north of a quarter million later in the year… Those are my hopes any way ?

  21. This guy, just a dude talking BTC on the Net, makes excellent points. Underneath is blockchain not talked about enough. People just want their Lambo's as do I. I don't think I'll live long enough to reap any real financial gain from my paltry stash. Understanding current events as I do, I have little hope about anything but through Christ who strengthens me.

  22. I think bitcoin is more than a currency, it is the most powerful finacial tool ever created. In that regard it is a threat to string holders. Do not declare your BTC holdings; do like the rich, they keep off shore accounts private!!!! Only declare buying BTC to access disconts for services like "travala" … Use fiat money to buy BTC @ 0.02% on an exchange & give that BTC to travala for 15% discount on trips & reservations… on a $10.000 trip you save $1.498! That's a lot of t-shirts.
    Declare your BTC "savings" account of instant buy to trade NOT your hodlings! NOT your portfolio! Seperate EVERYTHING :/

  23. I dont know, I mean $300,000 a coin? Scratching my head on that thesis – Because imagine those guys holding anything from 10k to 100k coins, that for example becomes somebody with 30 billion overnight. Thered be more billionares in the word than the world itself is worth. Who's done the math?

  29. Lark you’re just a legend with the burger joke ??. You’re definitely a cool dude full of wisdom. Miss you saying “ I’m just a dude talking about crypto on the internet”

  30. Bitcoin halving. With all seriousness I hate to say this. But i am very curious to what Craig Wright might say on this. In general this at least makes changes in market and keeps things interesting.
    There just has to be ideas on this. Then again most of the halvings never really went well as promised. But all well. Good work and glad all your content is saved!

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