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  6. Maybe bitcoin dominance tumbles hard and BCH / altcoins pump at the expense of bitcoin for most/all of 2020… Of course it doesn't seem likely, but it is POSSIBLE for the altcoin market cap to go up even with bitcoin failing support and making it's way back down $1k. The BTC pairs of altcoins seem to have been more correlated to BCH/BTC than BTC/USD in 2019. Bitcoin's post-BCH pump in 2017 was rushed, to say the least, and I consider everything since $3k BTC the more legit face-off between the two. Obviously BTC has continued winning for now, but if bitcoin fails to hold the support around $6500 and BCH finally starts going up at the expense of BTC again in the meantime, the aforementioned scenario starts to pretty quickly seem more plausible to me.

    One of the main reasons I consider the possibility more than others is the fact that so many BTC pairs came down to 2016-2017 levels, and the gains that altcoins seem to be destined for (vs bitcoin mainly, but USD as well) in the medium-term can be perceived as significantly less unrealistic with bitcoin also coming down to 2016-2017 levels in the meantime (ex. altcoin goes up 10x vs BTC, BTC loses 85% of it's value from $7200, at which point the altcoin's USD gain still very significant, and less "too good to be true"). Either way, just like I always pretty much knew that eventually BCH was going to surpass $20k, I'm of course inclined to expect the same for BTC even if it ends up losing it's dominance to BCH permanently.

    I'm not a BCH fanboy nor am I attempting to fear-monger, but I've been doing my best to prepare people for that possibility since shortly after I livestreamed/posted my "trying to nail a medium-term top at $13,700 bitcoin" video. I'm inclined to give bitcoin the benefit of the doubt for now, but I consider the $6500 to be very key, and I start to really worry about BTC itself in the medium-term if it gets below $5.5k again. Aside from price action in 2018, another reason I consider $6.5k extra significant is that I had been predicting BTCUSD/XAUUSD testing 4.5-5 since it's top this year, which happened as it was bouncing from $6.5k.

    I very rarely hear anything from you that disagree with, but I personally can't consider it absolutely necessary for bitcoin to be bullish for the rest of the market to flourish, especially as much as the rest of the market has suffered at the expense of it's potential bull traps. "So long as there's money leaving bitcoin, there's money leaving cryptocurrency" isn't necessarily a fact as far as I'm concerned, as there's always a chance of a BCH/BTC short squeeze and altcoins pumping along with it instead of caring what BTC is doing.

    One example of altcoins tending to move with BCH/BTC is that my ETC/BTC longs are going up a bit with BCH/BTC as I finally finish this comment.

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