What Really Causes a Recession? | Phil Town

Do you think we’re headed for a recession this year? Leave a comment below with your answer!

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This was well explained

As a Dividend investor the best time to pile up on stocks is during a recession when stock prices are at it's lowest.

Aloha Phil! Not sure if I’m asking this question correctly, but here goes:
Does the addition of robo stuffs in the investing world mean bots will buy the dips and prolong the economic rise?

In Australia the recession is
Because 80% of the population
Get free money from a leftist socialist feminist government
40% on welfare and
40% fake public servant's jobs
,, Middle class welfare,,
And in Australia it's only
Leaves 18% of there population to
Pay all the taxation

DONALD TRUMP

So recession is a cleansing of the credit market… interesting video. Thank you.

Hello,

I have two questions:
– Will the recession make the interest rates on loans change, let's say you have a line of credit that's currently at 7%, could it go up or down?

– If you have 10 000$ in your savings account today that's just sitting there, should you wait until the recession to invest it or invest it today?

Keep an eye on the trucking industry and transport, future orders seem to be sinking at a pretty good clip.

Rest In Peace those who graduate into recession

It computes for me. There is actually high inflation in assets (or at least there was over the last five years). Low interest rates haven't caused much a rise in salaries nor commodity inflation (yet) because the money put into the system by low loose monetary policy has not gone to low and mid income workers. And that's the problem.

Fed is the problem
23 Dec 1913
Rothschild/ paysuer
Bank or on by who?
Sheep no more.

Well done! You explained it very clearly.

I think US will loose the trade war with China, A lot of investors will transfer to China, China will be the next world market leader. hihi

Recession Summer 2020.

If you have money during a recession, you're golden.
That said, I think this one is gonna hurt…..things aren't how they should be and the Fed doesn't have anything in it's deck to create a floor to a downturn.

we dont know what is next? but sir you had explained the recession subject very simply. ?

Ah the magic of fractional reserve banking…

Definitely heading for recession. Rates to low for to long.

99 percent of people including professional investors don't know this. Writes!!!

2020 slow one

Good speaking ability, i am glad that you agree of see that majorly lowering interest rates is sort of dangerous this late in this cycle in such high amounts of debt.

If the Fed monetizes debt again and doesn't allow the market to cleanse itself from malinvestments, how severe will the following recession be if the Fed never allows the system to liquidate bad players in the market place?

Lack of confidence.

Very well explained. Enjoyed that

Regional quantitative easing. Driven by local optimism. The reverse happens when things look grim. Quantitative tightening. Not Fed driven at all. See Beaumont, Texas in the mid 1980's.

Somebody makes $100,000 and spends it so somebody else has a $100,000 job 'but nobody is making any money' – I don't get the logic of this, surely both people are making $100,000 dollars?

I think the stock market crash in recession will happen in October right around the time that brexit 31st

When do you know you are at the bottom and its time to buy?

I think we are not far off from a recession because seems like who ever is pulling the strings in the shadows of our government wants to put all these socialist wack jobs in power and they can't win with a good stock market and economy.

Is it possible our current low inflation and growth rates are more due to demographics than economics?

Until the Gen Y / Millennials hit their economic stride, growth and consumption will be adversely impacted — compounded by student and other debt.

IMO, the slow growth will continue until the Gen Y and Gen Z cohorts come into their own. Then, it will be the 1970's all over again.

Great video Phil, thank you for uploading.

We are not having one. Lower interest rates are good for the economy. Fed will have the ammo to lower rates if ir needs to.

Can you make a video on how you value banks and insurance companies if it is any different than MOS/PBT/10CAP methods you use to value other companies? Do you use zombie value methodology to get a discount on the balance sheet assets for these types of financial companies?

But Phil Town we may not witness another Great Recession. It could be 2 mild recessions spaced out a few years. Then what do we do?

Also, the current marker P/E is not that high. I could see stocks pulling back 10-25%. Prior to the Great Recession many companies had outrageous valuations. Today they are nowhere as bad.

You already know your boy have his money on standby